Daily Gold Analysis | Dec 29, 2025 (Monday)

Let’s do a quick gold analysis—short and sweet. I’m going to clear these drawings because I already did my own analysis once this morning.

The Big Picture Looking at what happened with gold on the daily timeframe, we saw a very strong bullish move. If I take the start of this move from exactly where it broke the resistance level (around $3,100), gold rallied from that $3,100 area all the way up to around $4,400.

What happened next was that the 38% Fibonacci level and the liquidity in this zone ($3,960 to $4,000) managed to give gold a fresh push upward. It started climbing toward the $4,500 area. Now, $4,500 is a round number, and you could say it’s where a lot of traders start taking their profits.

What to Expect Next? It all depends on the London market open, which is happening in about an hour and ten minutes. That’s going to make everything clear for us. If we see an increase in selling pressure when London opens—and honestly, the signs are already visible right now—we can expect gold to drop on the 1-hour chart down to the breakout zone at $4,381.

So, for now, this is the play: we expect gold to either start ranging here at the $4,500 level during the London session and then drop, or maybe even spike up a bit before falling. Or, it could just start dropping right now toward that $4,381 area, which is our next support (previous resistance).

Long-term Outlook After that, we can expect another price increase for gold; we might even see it break this current ceiling at $4,500. If you want my opinion, gold is going to keep going up and up for now… unless something really crazy happens, like a massive news event—for example, peace between Russia and Ukraine. If something like that happens, we’d expect gold to turn around and even break this floor at $4,100. But for now, the expectation is for gold to keep its bullish trend, just like it always has.